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Dairy price volatility spiked after 2007 due to a perfect storm of factors including policy shifts, adjustments to new grain demand dynamics, increased investor flow and other impacts. Since 2007 volatility has remained elevated and with increasing uncertainty over macroeconomic conditions and trade flows, market instability is likely to become an endemic part of the dairy world. […]
As 2019’s summer “hellish heatwave” overwhelms Europe, memories are triggered of the great British summer of 2018. Sunshine drenched crowds poured out onto the streets from the bustling bars and pubs as World Cup fever coincided with the hottest summer on record (Met Office). Beer consumption was booming, as its ingredient’s prices rocketed. Indeed, malting […]
Weather is wreaking havoc in the brassica markets as rains have reduced supply in the UK and demand continues to grow for the healthy products. Agricultural risk has always been a function of weather risk (among many other things). As climate change brings more extreme events it is clear this will translate into increasing risk in agricultural supply and prices. […]
Rainy and wet conditions have slowed grain plantings in the US and the historically late crop is having implications for global prices and volatility. This is centred in the wheat and corn markets but is having knock-on effects to other markets, especially soybeans. This move in the grain markets will have implications for many industries […]
The global and UK pig and pork markets are currently being pushed and pulled simultaneously by various factors that could result in major price swings. This environment has resulted in elevated price volatility and uncertainty with regards to future investments, stocks and just about everything else. Will pork prices rally as African Swine Fever (ASF) […]
Farm businesses spent nearly £1bn more on agricultural inputs and services in 2018 and the data shows UK farmers’ total incomes fell by 18% due to rising input costs. Here are some suggestions from independent agronomist Gary Hartley on how to manage this price volatility. […]
When it comes to providing a safety net to agriculture, the United States’ government-backed crop insurance is something farmers will wistfully mention when they hit difficult times. But the natural disaster experienced by growers in the Midwest in recent weeks shows that government support can’t always be as effective as it sets out to be […]
The sheep industry has repeatedly warned how catastrophic the results would be if a Brexit deal can’t be reached. Over 30% of the UK’s sheep production is exported, with more than 90% of that figure heading to Europe. In its 2019 outlook report, consultant Andersons says labour and concentrate use are responsible for the biggest variations between farmers who generate positive margins and those who don’t. […]
In 2019, input price volatility is expected to be a pressing factor for UK farmers as the weather condition of 2018 and energy inflation take their toll. Larger businesses can benefit from economies of scale and ever-improving levels of technical efficiencies and output. Key areas to drive efficiencies on-farm are likely to be genomics to increase output […]
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