Article 15 May 2019
There are few certainties when it comes to agriculture, but increasing input costs seems to be one trend UK farm businesses can count on.
While higher profits from a weaker pound might have masked the fact that input costs rose by 4% in 2017, last year many producers were left with much lighter wallets.
According to this month, UK farm businesses spent nearly £1bn more on agricultural inputs and services in 2018, an increase of 6% on the previous year. The impact of that extra spending meant that total incomes from farming fell by 18% to £4.7bn.
Of course last year’s long winter and dry summer had a huge part to play, with livestock farmers having to fork out an extra £500m on feed after forage stocks were hit by drought. However the strong rise in fertiliser and fuel costs over the year show that all sectors felt the pinch.
With climate change meaning that last year’s weather events are unlikely to be a one-off – and with Brexit uncertainty posing further challenges – it’s clear that farmers can’t afford to ignore the risk of further volatility.
Protecting profits in these situations can seem like a challenge, but there are steps that businesses can take to mitigate some of the risks.
At farm level, reviewing management practices to optimise efficiency can be a simple place to start.
“Volatility is not going to go away, so if input prices are going to continue to rise you need to be in the best possible place to cope with it.” Gary Hartley
In terms of production, some might decide to take a more extreme approach by introducing varieties which are better able to cope with drought or command higher market prices.
“Obviously if you move to more challenging crops then you need to be sure you have a customer for it at the end. That might mean moving to forward-pricing or mixed-pricing contracts to ensure you’re not shouldering all of the risk.” says independent agronomist Gary Hartley.
As well as changes to on-farm operations, risk management tools such as input and commodity insurance offered by Stable could help farm businesses and landowners better manage price fluctuations.
“Whatever farmers decide, the important things is to actually do something,” adds Mr Hartley. “Volatility is not going to go away, so if input prices are going to continue to rise you need to be in the best possible place to cope with it.”
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